Digitalization as a driver of economic growth

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Аннотация

The purpose of this paper is to assess the impact of digitalization on global economic growth and employment over the past 20–30 years. The waves of digitalization are highlighted, the dynamics and components of its material basis – the Information and Communication Technology (ICT) – are studied. Methods of mathematical statistics and common methods for analyzing time series, economic cycles and trends, structural shifts, regressions were used. Databases of such specialized agencies as UNCTAD, WTO, OECD, the US National Scientific Council, the Bureau of Economic Analysis USA, etc. are used as the main sources of digital and factual information. The main trends of the last 10–15 years have been calculated and justified: the exit of the ICС complex after the crisis of 2008–2009 to stationary growth trajectories; the beginning of the second wave of digitalization in 2015–2016, intensified by the COVID-19 pandemic; the advanced development of ICС services, etc.

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Авторлар туралы

Vladimir Varnavskii

V.A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Хат алмасуға жауапты Автор.
Email: varnavsky@imemo.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1772-1800

Doctor of Sciences (Economics), professor, Leading Research Fellow

Ресей, 117997, Moscow, Profsoyuznaya Street, 65

Әдебиет тізімі

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2. Fig. 1. Dynamics of personal computerproduction in the world, million units

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3. Fig. 2. World production of computers, electronics and optics, value added, at current prices

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4. Fig. 3. Share of ICТ in total business enterprise expenditure on R&D in leading countries of the world, %

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5. Fig. 4. Share of electronics in global merchandise exports, %

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6. Fig. 5. Global volume of ICT services and other information services, value added, million dollars, current prices

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7. Fig. 6. Share of ICT and its components in US GDP, %, calculated by value added, current prices

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